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What will be the outcome of Germany-Saudi Arabia diplomatic relations post-Magdeburg incident by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or announcements from the German or Saudi Arabian governments
Story
Saudi Arabia Warned Germany Multiple Times About Magdeburg Attacker Talib Abdul Mohsen, Permanent Resident for Two Decades
Dec 21, 2024, 09:20 AM
A Saudi source has informed Reuters that Saudi Arabia had previously warned German authorities about the attacker involved in the recent incident in Magdeburg, Germany. The suspect, identified as Talib Abdul Mohsen, had posted extremist views on his personal X account, which raised concerns about threats to peace and security. Saudi Arabia condemned the attack and indicated that it had sought the extradition of the suspect. Abdul Mohsen has been a permanent resident in Germany for two decades. The warnings from Saudi Arabia were reportedly made multiple times prior to the attack, highlighting the ongoing concerns about the suspect's extremist ideologies.
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Negligence confirmed • 25%
No negligence found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation not conducted • 25%
Further sanctions by Germany • 25%
Reconciliation efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Complete diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Establishes relations unconditionally • 25%
Establishes relations with conditions met • 25%
No establishment of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Worsened significantly • 25%
Worsened slightly • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Improved • 25%
Saudi Arabia only • 25%
Saudi Arabia and EU countries • 25%
Saudi Arabia and non-EU countries • 25%
No diplomatic discussions • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Ongoing Trials • 25%
No Actions Taken • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Resumption of diplomatic talks • 25%
Resolved diplomatically • 25%
Escalates to formal diplomatic action • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%