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What will be the outcome of Georgia's relationship with the EU by the end of 2025?
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Volodymyr Zelensky•Georgian•Bidzina Ivanishvili•Georgian Dream•Irakli Kobakhidze•Zelensky•Russia•European•Moscow•Georgia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the EU or Georgian government, or credible news reports
Story
Ukraine Sanctions 19 Georgian Officials, Including Ivanishvili, for Suppressing Protests and Ties to Russia
Dec 5, 2024, 08:29 AM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has signed a decree enforcing sanctions against 19 Georgian officials, including Bidzina Ivanishvili, the founder of the ruling Georgian Dream party, and Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze. Zelensky accuses the Georgian government of pushing the country towards dependence on Russia and suppressing pro-European protests. The sanctions, prepared by the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, include blocking assets and suspending economic and financial obligations. Zelensky also called on European and other international partners to take decisive action against Moscow's influence in Georgia.
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Georgia resumes EU accession talks • 25%
Georgia forms new EU-related agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumed talks • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Resume negotiations • 25%
Continue pause • 25%
Abandon EU accession • 25%
Other • 25%
Progress towards membership • 25%
Stalled negotiations • 25%
Membership aspirations abandoned • 25%
Membership achieved • 25%
Accepted as candidate • 25%
Rejected as candidate • 25%
Membership application deferred • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with new agreements • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Further deterioration in relations • 25%
Relations severed • 25%
Protests lead to government resignation • 25%
Protests lead to policy change • 25%
Protests are suppressed without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Georgia repeals the law and EU resumes accession process • 25%
Georgia keeps the law and EU maintains suspension • 25%
Georgia modifies the law but EU maintains suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Pressure on Georgia • 25%
Support for Georgian Protests • 25%
Formal Suspension of Accession Talks • 25%
Other • 25%