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What will be the outcome of Florida's Amendment 4 vote on abortion rights in the November 2024 election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Pass by a wide margin (more than 60%) • 25%
Pass by a narrow margin (50-60%) • 25%
Fail by a narrow margin (40-50%) • 25%
Fail by a wide margin (less than 40%) • 25%
Official election results published by Florida's Secretary of State
Story
Trump to Vote Against Florida's Amendment 4 on Abortion in Fox News Interview
Aug 30, 2024, 04:39 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced his intention to vote against Florida's Amendment 4, which seeks to expand abortion rights up to viability. Initially, Trump criticized the state's six-week abortion ban as too restrictive, suggesting he might support the amendment. However, after backlash from conservative allies, Trump clarified his stance in a Fox News interview, stating he would vote against the amendment, labeling it as too extreme for allowing late-term abortions. This decision aligns with his opposition to late-term abortion, despite his earlier comments about the six-week limit being too short.
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Pass with more than 60% support • 25%
Pass with 50-60% support • 25%
Fail with 40-50% support • 25%
Fail with less than 40% support • 25%
Pass with over 60% • 25%
Fail to pass • 25%
Pass exactly at 60% • 25%
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Amendment passes • 25%
Amendment fails • 25%
Too close to call • 25%
Amendment withdrawn • 25%
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No initiative • 25%
Approved with over 60% support • 25%
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Less than 5% • 25%
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Pro-choice majority elected • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Pass with more than 60% votes • 25%
Pass with 50%-60% votes • 25%
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Fail with less than 40% votes • 25%