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What will be the outcome of Edmundo González's presidency attempt by Feb 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Blocked by current government • 25%
Returns but does not assume presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements from Venezuelan government
Story
Felipe González Urges Spain to Recognize Edmundo González as Venezuela's President, Plans Return on January 10
Dec 23, 2024, 12:02 PM
Felipe González, the former Spanish Prime Minister, has called on the Spanish government to facilitate the return of Edmundo González to Venezuela and to recognize him as the country's elected president. He expressed his willingness to accompany Edmundo González on his return, stating that he would prefer to do so without prior notice. Edmundo González has confirmed that he has no restrictions preventing his return and plans to assume the presidency on January 10, despite the potential risks involved. He emphasized a commitment to reconciliation and a non-revengeful mandate. In response to González's requests, other political parties in Spain, including the Popular Party (PP) and Vox, have also urged the government to respect Venezuelan sovereignty and recognize Edmundo González as president.
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Edmundo González becomes President • 25%
Edmundo González is imprisoned • 25%
Edmundo González goes into exile • 25%
Edmundo González remains opposition leader • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
González takes office • 25%
Maduro retains power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains in Spain • 25%
Returns to Venezuela • 25%
Moves to another country • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Remains free in Venezuela • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains free • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Other • 25%
Forms a political movement in exile • 25%
Seeks political office in Spain • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Remains politically active but without formal position • 25%
Recognized by US and EU • 25%
Recognized by US only • 25%
Recognized by EU only • 25%
Recognized by neither • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Granted asylum • 25%
Deported back to Venezuela • 25%
Moves to another country • 25%
Remains in Spain without asylum • 25%