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What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's treatment and recovery following the assassination attempt by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully recovered • 25%
Partially recovered • 25%
Still undergoing treatment • 25%
Significant long-term effects • 25%
Public statements from Trump or his medical team, news reports
Story
Trump Confirms He Was Shot in the Ear During Assassination Attempt at Pennsylvania Rally on Saturday Evening
Jul 14, 2024, 12:54 AM
Former President Donald Trump has confirmed that he was shot in the upper part of his right ear during a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday evening. In a statement posted on his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump described hearing a whizzing sound and immediately feeling the bullet ripping through his skin, resulting in significant bleeding. The identity of the shooter remains unknown. This incident, described as an assassination attempt, marks a serious security breach at the rally, raising concerns about the safety protocols in place for high-profile political figures. Trump is currently receiving treatment at a hospital.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Full recovery • 25%
Partial recovery with lasting effects • 25%
Significant long-term health issues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fully recovered • 25%
Partially recovered • 25%
No significant recovery • 25%
Health worsened • 25%
Increased security measures for political figures • 25%
New legislation on political violence • 25%
No significant political changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump announces withdrawal from political activities • 25%
Trump continues his political activities without significant change • 25%
Trump announces a new political campaign • 25%
Trump takes a temporary break from politics • 25%
Gunman acted alone • 25%
Gunman was part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Investigation remains inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect apprehended • 25%
Suspect not apprehended • 25%
Suspect deceased • 25%
Crooks found guilty • 25%
Crooks found not guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone Wolf Act • 25%
Organized Plot • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Secret Service at fault • 25%
Local law enforcement at fault • 25%
Both at fault • 25%
Neither at fault • 25%