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What will be the outcome of diplomatic relations between Germany and Poland over the Nord Stream 2 investigation by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations break down • 25%
Announcements from German or Polish governments or verified news sources
Story
Germany Accuses Poland of Sabotaging Nord Stream 2 Investigation
Sep 7, 2024, 12:53 PM
German officials have accused Poland of sabotaging the investigation into the Nord Stream pipeline explosions. According to the allegations, Poland obstructed the investigation by allowing the main suspect, Volodymyr Z., a Ukrainian diving instructor, to flee to Ukraine. German investigators believe they have identified Volodymyr Z. as a key suspect in the case. Officials also allege that explosives were involved in the sabotage of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
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Talks successful, cooperation agreed • 25%
Talks held, no agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Resolved diplomatically • 25%
Escalated to economic sanctions • 25%
Escalated to military tension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US involvement confirmed • 25%
Ukrainian team involvement confirmed • 25%
Other entity involvement confirmed • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Poland found culpable • 25%
Volodymyr Z. found culpable • 25%
Other entity found culpable • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Ukrainian group responsible • 25%
Russian group responsible • 25%
Other group responsible • 25%
No conclusive finding • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
US involvement confirmed • 25%
UK involvement confirmed • 25%
Other party involved • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Relations significantly improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations significantly worsen • 25%
Relations are severed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Another country confirmed responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Ukraine involvement confirmed • 25%
Russia involvement confirmed • 25%
Poland involvement confirmed • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Sanctions on Sweden • 25%
International Inquiry • 25%
No Action • 25%
Other • 25%