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What will be the outcome of Brian Hook leading the State Department transition by January 31, 2025?
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US Iran•Brian Hook•State Department•Donald Trump•Hook•US•Iran•Trump•White House•Tehran•Mideast•Iranian•Mike Pompeo
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Diplomatic talks with Iran • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible news sources or official announcements from the State Department
Story
Brian Hook to Lead State Dept Transition as Trump Plans to Renew 'Maximum Pressure' on Iran, Cutting Oil by 1 Million Barrels
Nov 7, 2024, 10:30 PM
Former US Iran envoy Brian Hook is set to lead the State Department's transition team for President-elect Donald Trump. Hook, who served as the Director of Policy Planning and US Special Representative for Iran during Trump's first term, was the architect of the 'maximum pressure' sanctions campaign against Iran. Trump's return to the White House is expected to herald a tougher line on Iran, with plans to drastically increase sanctions and throttle its oil sales. This strategy aims to undercut Tehran's support of violent Mideast proxies and its nuclear program. Sources indicate that the renewed 'maximum pressure' policy could cut Iranian oil supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day. Speculation also surrounds the potential appointment of Mike Pompeo as Secretary of Defense.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran agrees to new nuclear deal • 25%
Iran increases nuclear activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Israel-Palestine relations • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran Nuclear Deal • 25%
Middle East Peace • 25%
China Relations • 25%
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European Union • 25%
Middle Eastern Nations • 25%
Asian Countries • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage exchange deal • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
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Brian Hook • 25%
Mike Pompeo • 25%
John Bolton • 25%
Other • 25%