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What will be the outcome of Apple's negotiations with the EU regarding the Digital Markets Act directive by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Legal action taken • 25%
Official announcements from Apple or the European Union, reputable news sources
Story
Apple Faces EU Warning to Open iPhone OS Under Digital Markets Act, Risks 10% Turnover Fine
Sep 19, 2024, 09:13 AM
Apple Inc. is set to receive a warning from the European Union to open up its highly guarded iPhone operating system to rival technologies. This directive comes under the new Digital Markets Act, which mandates that operating systems must be fully functional with other technologies. Failure to comply could result in significant fines, potentially up to 10% of Apple's global annual turnover. The EU's move, led by antitrust regulators, aims to ensure interoperability and fair competition within the tech industry. Apple must also respond to interoperability requests from developers and third parties.
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Apple complies without fines • 25%
Apple complies after receiving fines • 25%
Apple does not comply and receives fines • 25%
Other • 25%
Apple fully complies • 25%
Apple partially complies • 25%
Apple does not comply • 25%
Apple receives fines • 25%
Apple fully complies • 25%
Apple partially complies • 25%
Apple does not comply and faces fines • 25%
Proceedings extended • 25%
Full Compliance • 25%
Partial Compliance • 25%
Non-Compliance • 25%
Legal Action Taken • 25%
Apple opens iPhone OS completely • 25%
Apple opens iPhone OS partially • 25%
Apple does not open iPhone OS • 25%
Apple challenges the directive legally • 25%
Software Updates • 25%
Third-Party Partnerships • 25%
Legal Challenges • 25%
Combination of Strategies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Apple fully complies • 25%
Apple partially complies • 25%
Apple does not comply • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Apple complies without fines • 25%
Apple complies with fines • 25%
Apple does not comply and faces fines • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Allow third-party app stores • 25%
Allow sideloading of apps • 25%
Allow third-party payment systems • 25%
Other changes • 25%