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What will be the outcome of Apple's AI integration talks with Tencent and ByteDance by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement with Tencent only • 25%
Agreement with ByteDance only • 25%
Agreements with both Tencent and ByteDance • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Official announcements from Apple, Tencent, ByteDance or major news outlets
Story
Apple in Early Talks With Tencent, ByteDance to Integrate AI Models Into iPhones in China Amid ChatGPT Ban
Dec 19, 2024, 06:50 AM
Apple Inc. is in early-stage discussions with Tencent Holdings Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd., the owner of TikTok, to integrate their artificial intelligence (AI) models into iPhones sold in China. This move comes as Apple seeks to enhance its AI offerings in the Chinese market, where OpenAI's ChatGPT is unavailable due to regulatory restrictions. The discussions are aimed at incorporating AI features into iPhones to meet local regulatory requirements and adapt to user preferences in China, especially as Apple faces a declining market share in the region. The talks are still in the preliminary stages, and no details have been made public yet.
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Successful product integration • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Partnership expanded • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Agreement reached with changes implemented • 25%
Agreement reached with no changes • 25%
No agreement reached, WeChat remains unchanged • 25%
No agreement reached, WeChat removed from App Store • 25%
All complete reviews • 25%
Two complete reviews • 25%
One completes review • 25%
None complete reviews • 25%
New AI product launch • 34%
Major AI research breakthrough • 33%
No significant outcome • 33%
Launch of a new AI product • 25%
Major AI research breakthrough • 25%
Significant improvement in AI ethics standards • 25%
No notable outcomes announced • 25%
Meta • 33%
Anthropic • 33%
Perplexity • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stock price increases by more than 10% • 25%
Stock price increases by less than 10% • 25%
Stock price decreases by less than 10% • 25%
Stock price decreases by more than 10% • 25%
All increase • 25%
All decrease • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
No significant change • 25%
AI integration in iOS • 34%
AI-powered hardware • 33%
New AI service • 33%
ByteDance becomes a leader in AI chips • 33%
ByteDance maintains parity with competitors • 33%
ByteDance lags behind competitors • 33%