Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of any Congressional hearings related to the House Republicans' Afghanistan withdrawal report by June 30, 2025?
2
Republicans•Biden•Afghanistan•Michael McCaul•House Foreign Affairs Committee•American•NATO•Afghan•Harris•White House•John Kirby•Trump•Taliban
Resolution / Starting Odds
New legislation or policy changes • 25%
Public reprimand of officials • 25%
No significant outcomes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official Congressional records or public announcements
Story
House Republicans' 600-Page Report Criticizes Biden Administration's Afghanistan Withdrawal, 13 American Service Members Killed
Sep 9, 2024, 06:06 PM
House Republicans have released a comprehensive 600-page report criticizing the Biden administration's handling of the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal. The report, led by Rep. Michael McCaul, Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, alleges that the administration prioritized the optics of withdrawal over the security of U.S. personnel, leading to the deaths of 13 American service members. The investigation accuses the Biden administration of ignoring military advice, NATO objections, and Afghan pleas, and misleading the public about the chaotic exit. The report also notes that no officials, including Vice President Harris, have been held accountable for the failures. The White House has pushed back against the report, with officials like John Kirby defending the administration's actions and attributing some of the blame to the previous Trump administration's deal with the Taliban.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant actions taken • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
Calls for resignations or accountability • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Biden administration found at fault • 25%
No fault found • 25%
Mixed findings • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No investigation initiated • 25%
Investigation initiated, no significant findings • 25%
Investigation initiated, significant findings against the Biden-Harris administration • 25%
Investigation initiated, significant findings in favor of the Biden-Harris administration • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal censure issued • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reprimand issued • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal censure • 25%
Policy recommendations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No inquiry • 25%
Inquiry with no significant findings • 25%
Inquiry with minor findings • 25%
Inquiry with major findings • 25%
Treason charges recommended • 25%
Court-martial recommended • 25%
No charges recommended • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal censure of Blinken • 25%
Initiation of investigation • 25%
Other significant measure • 25%
New hearings scheduled • 25%
Investigation concluded • 25%
Investigation stalled • 25%
Other • 25%
