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Market
What will be the opinion of prominent AI researchers on the success of the Strawberry project by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Very Successful • 25%
Moderately Successful • 25%
Slightly Successful • 25%
Not Successful • 25%
Survey or public statements from prominent AI researchers
Story
OpenAI's 'Strawberry' Project to Enhance AI Reasoning, Reports Reuters
Jul 13, 2024, 12:51 AM
OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, is developing a new reasoning technology under the code name 'Strawberry.' This project, previously known as Q*, aims to significantly enhance the reasoning capabilities of AI models. According to an internal document and sources from Reuters, Strawberry is designed to enable AI not only to generate answers to queries but also to plan ahead and autonomously navigate the internet to perform deep research. The technology is expected to push the boundaries of AI towards achieving human-level intelligence, potentially transforming scientific research and real-world problem-solving.
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Significantly better • 25%
Slightly better • 25%
On par • 25%
Worse • 25%
Surpasses GPT-4 in reasoning tasks • 25%
Successfully integrated into existing OpenAI products • 25%
Demonstrates human-like reasoning in a public demo • 25%
Other milestone • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ChatGPT integration • 25%
National security applications • 25%
Product marketing strategies • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by less than 10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%