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What will be the next step by Jack Smith in Trump's case by December 2, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No further action • 25%
Refile charges • 25%
Refer to another jurisdiction • 25%
Other • 25%
Official DOJ announcements or credible news outlets
Story
DOJ and Jack Smith Drop Federal Charges Against President-elect Trump
Nov 8, 2024, 07:00 PM
Special Counsel Jack Smith is withdrawing all federal charges against President-elect Donald Trump due to the Department of Justice's policy against prosecuting a sitting president. Trump, who recently won the presidential election, was facing federal charges for election subversion and unlawfully retaining classified documents. The Justice Department has moved to end the legal cases brought against Trump, and Smith is expected to resign from office. A federal judge, Tanya Chutkan, has granted Smith's request to vacate all remaining pretrial deadlines in Trump's election interference case. Smith's office has set a deadline of December 2 to announce the next steps in the case.
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Dismiss the case • 25%
Proceed with trial • 25%
Seek a plea deal • 25%
Request more time • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Granted • 33%
Denied • 33%
Partially Granted • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appeal successful, charges reinstated • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, dismissal upheld • 25%
Partial success, some charges reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All cases concluded with convictions • 25%
Some cases concluded with convictions • 25%
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Cases still pending • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trump convicted • 25%
Trump acquitted • 25%
Cases dropped • 25%
Ongoing by end of 2025 • 25%