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What will be the next significant military action by Hezbollah by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Missile launch • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from IDF, Hezbollah, and major news outlets
Story
Hezbollah Qadir 1 Missile Targeting Tel Aviv Intercepted by Israeli Defense Systems
Sep 25, 2024, 04:13 AM
Hezbollah launched a surface-to-surface missile from Lebanon targeting Tel Aviv, which was intercepted by Israel's aerial defense systems. The missile, identified as a ballistic missile type 'Qadir 1,' was reportedly aimed at the headquarters of the IDF Intelligence Unit 8200 and the Mossad headquarters. The interception triggered alarm sirens throughout Tel Aviv and nearby areas, marking the first time sirens have sounded in Tel Aviv during the current escalation with Hezbollah. No injuries were reported, and the Home Front Command confirmed no changes to safety instructions for central Israel. Schools in the area will remain open.
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Rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground attack on Israel • 25%
Attack on Israeli infrastructure • 25%
Other • 25%
Ground invasion • 33%
Missile attack • 33%
Naval attack • 33%
Significant attack on Israel • 25%
Significant attack elsewhere • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other action • 25%
Rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground incursion into Israel • 25%
Aerial attack on Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Ballistic missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah missile attack • 25%
Israeli airstrike • 25%
Ground skirmish • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah strike on Tel Aviv • 25%
Israeli ground incursion into Lebanon • 25%
Clashes at the border • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Increased border skirmishes • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Missile attack by Hezbollah • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Ground incursion by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Naval attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Another assassination attempt • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No major action • 25%