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What will be the next action by the U.S. government regarding other wrongfully detained citizens in China by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal diplomatic talks • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Public statements • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or major news outlets
Story
China Frees Orange County Pastor David Lin After 17 Years in Prison
Sep 15, 2024, 08:03 PM
China has released 68-year-old American pastor David Lin, an Orange County resident, who had been imprisoned since 2006 on charges of contract fraud. The U.S. government has long claimed that Lin was wrongfully detained. His release on Sunday marks the end of a 17-year imprisonment, during which he was serving a life sentence. Lin has returned to the United States, reuniting with his family for the first time in nearly two decades. The State Department confirmed his release, highlighting that Lin was one of three U.S. citizens deemed to have been wrongfully detained by Beijing.
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Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Increased sanctions on China • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
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16 or more • 25%
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Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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Military action • 25%
Other • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased export controls • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No additional actions • 25%