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What will be the nature of the next Houthi attack on a commercial vessel in the Gulf of Aden by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Explosive attack • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from UKMTO or other verified maritime security sources
Story
UKMTO Reports Two Houthi Attacks on Commercial Vessels 170 and 125 Nautical Miles from Aden
Aug 3, 2024, 04:26 PM
The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) has reported two separate Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in the Gulf of Aden. The first incident, identified as UKMTO WARNING INCIDENT 104, occurred 170 nautical miles southwest of Aden, Yemen, where a ship linked to Israel was targeted. The nature of the attack remains unclear, though explosions were reported near the vessel, causing no damage. The second attack took place 125 nautical miles east of Aden, targeting a second vessel. Details about the nature of these attacks and any potential damage or injuries are still unknown. These incidents mark the first attacks in over two weeks in the region, where Houthi militants have been targeting commercial ships in solidarity with Palestinians.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased attacks • 25%
Decreased attacks • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ballistic Missiles • 25%
Uncrewed Aerial Systems (Drones) • 25%
Mines • 25%
Other • 25%
Container Ship • 25%
Oil Tanker • 25%
Military Vessel • 25%
Other • 25%
