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What will be the nature of Powell's relationship with Trump's Treasury Secretary by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive relationship • 25%
Neutral relationship • 25%
Negative relationship • 25%
No significant interaction • 25%
Public statements or reports on the relationship between Powell and the Treasury Secretary
Story
Trump Won't Seek Powell's Removal as Fed Chair, Acknowledges Legal Constraints
Dec 8, 2024, 02:52 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has stated that he has no plans to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before his term expires in May 2026. In an interview with NBC's "Meet the Press," Trump affirmed that he does not intend to ask Powell to step down, saying, "I don't see it." This addresses speculations about potential changes in the Fed's leadership during the upcoming administration. Powell has expressed that he is "not concerned" about the central bank losing its independence and is confident he cannot be legally replaced. He also stated he is confident about maintaining a good relationship with the president-elect's pick for Treasury secretary.
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No change in relationship • 25%
Public criticism by Trump • 25%
Powell steps down • 25%
Other • 25%
Powell remains Chair without incident • 25%
Powell resigns voluntarily • 25%
Powell is removed through legal or political means • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Strengthens • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Weakens • 25%
Becomes contentious • 25%
Completes term • 25%
Resigns voluntarily • 25%
Removed by Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Positive • 25%
Negative • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Marc Rowan • 25%
Steven Mnuchin • 25%
Judy Shelton • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin Warsh • 25%
Scott Bessent • 25%
Other • 25%
No Nomination • 25%
Steven Mnuchin • 25%
Larry Kudlow • 25%
Gary Cohn • 25%
Other • 25%
Janet Yellen • 25%
Lael Brainard • 25%
Jerome Powell • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin Warsh • 25%
Another candidate • 25%
Current Treasury Secretary • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%