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What will be the most likely international reaction to the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hamas Leader Ismail Haniyeh Assassinated in Tehran by Israeli-made Spike Missile Strike
Jul 31, 2024, 02:25 PM
Ismail Haniyeh, a prominent Hamas political bureau chief, was reportedly assassinated by an Israeli-made Spike short-range missile strike in northern Tehran. According to multiple reports, including those from Iranian media, one of Haniyeh's bodyguards leaked critical information that led to his assassination. The Israeli-made Spike short-range missile, known for its precision, was launched from a nearby building and targeted Haniyeh's bedroom, resulting in his death along with his bodyguard. Saudi Arabian news outlet Al-Arabiya also reported on the incident but did not provide additional details.
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Sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
Condemnation statements • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
US support • 25%
No major reaction • 25%
Retaliation against Israel • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. • 25%
Internal leadership reorganization • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of the strike • 25%
Support for the strike • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Military Aid Reduction • 25%
No Action • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel's action • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Cease-fire agreement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the assassination • 25%
Major protests in multiple countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Iran only • 25%
Iran and Hezbollah • 25%
Iran and Hamas • 25%
Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%