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What will be the major legislative outcome on autonomous vehicles in the U.S. by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Federal regulations passed • 25%
State-level regulations dominate • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official legislative records and announcements
Story
Trump's Transportation Nominee Commits to NHTSA Probe of Tesla's Full Self-Driving Mode
Jan 15, 2025, 06:17 PM
Sean Duffy, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee to lead the U.S. Department of Transportation, has committed to allowing the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to continue its investigation into Tesla's self-driving software, known as Full Self-Driving (Supervised) mode. During his Senate Commerce Committee confirmation hearing, Duffy emphasized his commitment to objectivity in the investigation, despite Tesla CEO Elon Musk's significant influence within the Trump administration. The investigation stems from concerns over driver engagement with Tesla's advanced driver-assistance systems, following incidents where drivers were not paying attention to the road, leading to crashes. Duffy also mentioned the need for national legislation to regulate autonomous vehicles uniformly across the country, highlighting the technology's potential to revolutionize transportation and the importance of safety in its deployment.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Eased regulations • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
Unfavorable changes • 25%
Favorable changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
More than 15 states • 25%
Other • 25%
Zoox • 25%
Tesla • 25%
Waymo • 25%
Still under debate • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No further attempts • 25%
Passed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New DUI laws enacted • 25%
Increased public awareness campaigns • 25%
Other responses • 25%
General vehicle safety standards • 25%
AI integration and safety • 25%
No new regulations • 25%
Explosive material detection • 25%