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What will be the level of state support for Trump's voter ID proposal by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Split opinions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements and resolutions from state governments
Story
Trump Announces Nationwide Voter ID and Proof of Citizenship Plans, Targets California
Nov 9, 2024, 10:14 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to require voter ID and proof of citizenship for voting in federal elections nationwide. This initiative is aimed at enhancing election integrity and is supported by a significant majority of the American public, including two-thirds of Democrats. Trump specifically warned California Governor Gavin Newsom that these requirements would be enforced ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial election in California. Trump also expressed intentions to overturn California's voter ID ban, which has been challenged by Newsom. The proposal has garnered support from various quarters, with some legislators already co-sponsoring related legislation. Notably, 83% of Americans reportedly favor these voting safeguards. Trump also emphasized the need for paper ballots, declaring, 'America is back!'
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Similar markets
Support increases to over 90% • 25%
Support remains between 80%-90% • 25%
Support drops to 70%-80% • 25%
Support drops below 70% • 25%
0-10 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
21-30 states • 25%
31+ states • 25%
Both parties support • 25%
Republicans support, Democrats oppose • 25%
Democrats support, Republicans oppose • 25%
Both parties oppose • 25%
Stricter voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Current voter ID laws remain unchanged in multiple states • 25%
Less strict voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Mixed outcomes across states • 25%
All states comply • 25%
Some states comply • 25%
No states comply • 25%
Legal challenges delay compliance • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for stricter voter ID laws • 25%
Decreased support for stricter voter ID laws • 25%
Support remains the same • 25%
No clear consensus • 25%