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What will be the level of control and coordination among Syrian military factions by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
High level of control and coordination • 25%
Moderate level of control and coordination • 25%
Low level of control and coordination • 25%
No improvement in control and coordination • 25%
Reports from international observers or credible news sources
Story
Marhaf Abu Qasra Appointed Acting Defense Minister as Ahmed Al-Sharaa Discusses Unified Military Structure in Syria
Dec 21, 2024, 05:39 PM
The Syrian Interim Government has appointed Engineer Marhaf Abu Qasra as the Acting Minister of Defense. Abu Qasra, a prominent military figure and former chief of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), will oversee the integration of various military factions into a unified institution under the Ministry of Defense. This restructuring was discussed in a recent meeting led by Syrian leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa, who emphasized that all armed groups will be merged into a single entity. The new military framework aims to consolidate control and enhance coordination among the factions, marking a significant step in the reformation of Syria's military landscape following the conflict that has shaped the region.
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Reversal of decision • 25%
Partial integration • 25%
Complete integration • 25%
No integration • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Partial unification • 25%
Complete unification • 25%
Reversal of efforts • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Other factions emerge • 25%
Government control • 25%
Rebel influence remains • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Government regains full control • 25%
Government control unchanged • 25%
Government loses control • 25%
Government retains partial control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased government control • 25%
Increased opposition control • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
HTS • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Integration with SDF forces • 25%
Regional command divisions • 25%
Unified command structure • 25%
Other structure • 25%
Other • 25%
Sunni Islamist groups • 25%
Assad-aligned remnants • 25%
Kurdish forces • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Opposition • 25%
Conditional cooperation • 25%
Indifference • 25%