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What will be the legal resolution of Trump's presidential immunity claim by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Immunity upheld, no sentencing • 25%
Immunity rejected, sentencing proceeds • 25%
Immunity partially upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or announcements from relevant judicial bodies
Story
President-elect Trump Moves to Delay January 10 Sentencing in Stormy Daniels Hush Money Case
Jan 6, 2025, 03:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has filed a motion requesting that New York Judge Juan M. Merchan delay his sentencing in the hush money case scheduled for Friday, January 10. Trump's legal team is appealing the ruling that upheld his May conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to hush money payments to porn star Stormy Daniels. They argue that the sentencing should be halted while the appeal is considered, citing presidential immunity following his election victory. The defense plans to take the appeal to the Appellate Division, First Department. Judge Merchan had previously ruled that the sentencing could proceed despite Trump's imminent inauguration on January 20, assuring no jail time. If the sentencing proceeds, Trump would become the first president to take office convicted of felony crimes.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Gag order upheld • 25%
Gag order overturned • 25%
Modified gag order • 25%
Claim dismissed • 25%
Case Postponed • 25%
Conviction Dismissed • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Pardon • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Members fined • 25%
Members jailed • 25%
New challenges emerged • 25%
All challenges ongoing • 25%
Some challenges ongoing • 25%
All challenges resolved • 25%
Convictions or penalties • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
No legal actions initiated • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Convictions upheld • 25%
Partial overturn • 25%
All convictions overturned • 25%