Loading...
Market
What will be the key regional response to China's nuclear expansion by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased US military presence in Asia • 25%
Japan strengthens its military capabilities • 25%
South Korea seeks nuclear capabilities • 25%
ASEAN countries enhance diplomatic engagements • 25%
Official statements from regional powers or credible news sources
Story
Pentagon Report: China Expands Nuclear Arsenal to Over 600 Warheads, Adding 100 New Warheads and Hundreds of Missiles
Dec 18, 2024, 05:22 PM
The Pentagon's latest annual report indicates that China is rapidly expanding its nuclear forces, having increased its operational nuclear warhead count from 500 to over 600 in the past year. This represents a 20% growth in its arsenal, with estimates suggesting that the number could exceed 1,000 by 2030. The report highlights a large-scale military buildup, including the addition of hundreds of new missiles and at least 100 new nuclear warheads. Furthermore, the Pentagon notes that China's military expansion is accompanied by strengthened ties with Russia, raising concerns about the implications for regional and global security. The report estimates that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will continue to grow its nuclear capabilities through at least 2035.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military alliances • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
US increases military presence in Asia • 25%
New international treaty discussions • 25%
Neutral stance by most countries • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military build-up by NATO • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased collaboration with China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Increased competition for uranium • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
Engage in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase nuclear arsenal • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Asia-Pacific countries • 25%
European Union • 25%
U.S. and allies • 25%