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What will be the international response to the Romanian airspace breach by Mar 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN Security Council meeting • 25%
Condemnation from EU • 25%
Joint statement by NATO allies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from UN or major international organizations
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Russian Kh-101 Cruise Missile Flies 140 Kilometers, Breaching Romanian Airspace on December 25, 2024
Dec 25, 2024, 09:00 AM
On December 25, 2024, reports emerged indicating that a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile may have briefly entered the airspace of Romania after traversing Moldova. Monitoring channels reported that the missile flew approximately 140 kilometers through Moldova before crossing into Romanian airspace near Darabani, Botoșani, and subsequently re-entering Ukraine. Ukrainian authorities claimed that the missile violated Romania's airspace, which is part of NATO, for a short duration. However, the Romanian Ministry of National Defense (MApN) stated that this incursion has not been confirmed. Moldovan President Maia Sandu confirmed that the missile did breach Moldova's airspace before hitting a target in Ukraine. This incident marks a notable development, as only drones had previously breached Romanian airspace.
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Formal protest lodged with Russia • 25%
Request for NATO intervention • 25%
No formal diplomatic action taken • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
UN Security Council meeting • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
NATO military exercises • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
NATO issues a formal condemnation • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
Both NATO and EU issue formal condemnations • 25%
No formal condemnation from NATO or EU • 25%
Issue a diplomatic protest • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Request NATO intervention • 25%
No action taken • 25%
File a formal complaint with Russia • 25%
Increase border security • 25%
Seek NATO intervention • 25%
No action • 25%
High concern and demand for action • 25%
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Low concern • 25%
Indifferent/No reaction • 25%
Acknowledged within January • 25%
Acknowledged within February • 25%
Not acknowledged by February • 25%
Acknowledged by NATO • 25%
Confirmed by Romania • 25%
Confirmed by NATO • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase military presence • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Request NATO intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%