Loading...
Market
What will be the international response to the Kenyan protests by October 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
No significant action • 33%
Official statements from international bodies, major news outlets
Story
Kenyan Police Fire on Protesters, Ten Killed as Parliament Set Ablaze Amid Tax Hike Protests
Jun 25, 2024, 01:40 PM
Kenyan police have fired tear gas, rubber bullets, and live ammunition at young protesters demonstrating against a newly passed finance bill that introduces significant tax hikes. The protests, which have escalated across the country, saw thousands of demonstrators storming the Parliament buildings in Nairobi. As the situation intensified, part of the Parliament building was set on fire, and several legislators were forced to flee. Reports indicate that at least ten protesters have been killed and dozens wounded in the clashes. The bill, which is backed by the IMF, has sparked widespread anger among Kenyans who see it as an unfair burden amid a cost of living crisis. Police also reportedly beat protesters, and at least three people were shot dead.
View original story
Similar markets
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased foreign aid • 25%
UN issues a statement • 25%
African Union issues a statement • 25%
Both issue statements • 25%
Neither issue statements • 25%
Sanctions against Kenya • 33%
Condemnation without sanctions • 33%
No significant response • 34%
Curfew imposed • 25%
Protests disperse peacefully • 25%
Violent clashes continue • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Cease involvement • 25%
Issue public statements • 25%
Increase involvement • 25%
No official action • 25%
UN intervention or statement • 25%
Sanctions or actions by another country • 25%
Humanitarian aid or support • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Protests end without significant policy changes • 25%
IMF changes loan policies towards Kenya • 25%
Kenyan government makes significant economic policy changes • 25%
President Ruto resigns • 25%
Significant policy changes • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
No policy changes • 25%
Increased enforcement measures • 25%
US calls for ceasefire • 25%
EU calls for ceasefire • 25%
UN intervenes • 25%
No significant international response • 25%