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What will be the international response to Israeli military action in Gaza by January 25, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Hamas•Gaza•Trump•Middle East•Israeli Defense•Israel Katz•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•American•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN, EU, or NATO, and credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of Dire Consequences If 96 Hostages Not Released by Jan. 20; IDF Prepares for Action
Jan 10, 2025, 08:47 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas, stating that 'all hell will break out' if the group does not release the 96 hostages it holds in Gaza before his inauguration on January 20. Trump's comments were made during a news conference, emphasizing that failure to secure a hostage release deal by the Jan. 20 deadline would lead to severe consequences for Hamas and potentially destabilize the Middle East. In response to Trump's ultimatum, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to prepare a military plan for the 'complete defeat' of Hamas in Gaza if no hostage deal is reached by the time Trump takes office. Additionally, relatives of the seven American hostages held by Hamas have announced their intention to attend Trump's inauguration, hoping to leverage the event to press for the release of their loved ones. The families are also scheduled to meet with officials from the incoming Trump administration during their stay in Washington.
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Similar markets
Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
General support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No formal condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by US • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No response • 25%
Support • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
US-mediated peace talks • 25%
Continued military actions • 25%
UN-mediated ceasefire • 25%
Other resolutions • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
UN sanctions against Hamas • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%