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Market
What will be the international response to Germany's potential supply of Taurus missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support from NATO • 25%
Criticism from Russia • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
CDU's Merz Proposes 24-Hour Ultimatum to Russia, Pledges Long-Range Taurus Missiles to Ukraine
Oct 16, 2024, 03:03 PM
German opposition leader and potential next Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, has expressed his readiness to supply Ukraine with long-range Taurus missiles under specific conditions. Merz, the CDU's future chancellor candidate, insists that before delivery, Russia must be given a 24-hour ultimatum to cease its attacks on civilian targets in Ukraine. If Russia fails to comply, Merz pledges to lift restrictions on Ukraine's long-range strikes and provide the Taurus missiles without any limitations. This stance marks a significant shift from the current policies of the Scholz government, which Merz has criticized for being too appeasing towards Russia. Merz suggests that an appeal to Putin should be made to halt the attacks.
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Supply approved • 25%
Supply denied • 25%
Supply postponed • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Maintain current stance • 34%
Agree to send Taurus missiles • 33%
Send other long-range missiles • 33%
Supplies TAURUS missiles • 33%
Declines to supply TAURUS missiles • 33%
Delays decision until after June 2025 • 34%
Yes, with conditions • 25%
Yes, unconditionally • 25%
No • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Germany supplies missiles • 25%
Germany declines to supply missiles • 25%
Germany delays decision • 25%
Germany seeks alternative support • 25%