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What will be the international response to Bashar al-Assad's potential death by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Calls for peace • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from major international bodies such as the United Nations, European Union, or the United States government
Story
Assad's IL-76T Disappears After U-Turn; Unconfirmed Reports Suggest Syrian President Killed in Crash
Dec 8, 2024, 09:17 AM
Unconfirmed reports have emerged that a plane carrying Syrian President Bashar al-Assad disappeared from radar near Homs after taking off from Damascus International Airport last night. Two Syrian sources told Reuters that there is a very high probability that Assad may have been killed in a plane crash. The aircraft, an IL-76T, reportedly changed course abruptly, descended to 1,600 feet, and then disappeared from radar. Flight data from the Flightradar website indicates the plane made an unexplained U-turn before vanishing. It is believed that the aircraft may have been shot down.
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Sanctions on Syria • 25%
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Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
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No significant response • 25%