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What will be the impact on Russia's overall oil production due to the Omsk refinery fire in 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant impact • 25%
Up to 5% reduction • 25%
5% to 10% reduction • 25%
More than 10% reduction • 25%
Official production reports from Russian authorities or news agencies such as TASS
Story
Fire Erupts at Russia's Largest Omsk Refinery, Affecting AVT-10 Installation
Aug 1, 2024, 04:24 PM
A significant fire has erupted at Russia's largest oil refinery, the Omsk oil refinery, according to TASS news agency. The fire, which broke out at the AVT-10 installation, has affected an area of 300 square meters. The Omsk refinery, located in Siberia, has a design capacity for raw materials of 6 million tons per year and an overall capacity of 22 million tons per year. Authorities are currently responding to the situation, and there are no indications of external interference causing the fire.
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Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Remain within +/- 5% • 25%
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Below 9.0 million b/d • 25%
Between 9.0 and 9.1 million b/d • 25%
Between 9.1 and 9.2 million b/d • 25%
Above 9.2 million b/d • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 1.5 million tons • 25%
1.5 to 2 million tons • 25%
2 to 2.5 million tons • 25%
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Significant increase in oil prices • 25%
Significant decrease in oil prices • 25%
No significant change in oil prices • 25%
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Below 100,000 b/d • 25%
Between 100,000 and 200,000 b/d • 25%
Between 200,000 and 300,000 b/d • 25%
Above 300,000 b/d • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
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