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What will be the impact on Qatar's relations with U.S. and Iran after Hamas expulsion by 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved U.S. Relations • 25%
Strained Iran Relations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis in international relations reports and statements from involved countries
Story
Qatar to Hamas: 'You Are Not Welcome Here'—Expels Leaders Amid U.S. Pressure
Nov 8, 2024, 04:24 PM
Qatar has informed Hamas officials residing in the country that they are no longer welcome and must immediately prepare to depart, according to reports from Israeli outlet Kann News and multiple sources. This marks a significant shift in Qatar's policy, as the nation has previously hosted Hamas leadership. The decision comes amid recent U.S. pressure and follows Qatar's attempts to mediate hostage negotiations. Qatar, a strategic U.S. partner hosting the largest coalition airbase in the region, reportedly told Hamas representatives, "You are not welcome here." Some Hamas officials have already left for Tehran. Speculation suggests that the move may be influenced by President Trump's recent election victory.
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Improved relations with the U.S. • 25%
Strained relations with Hamas • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other significant impact • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Continue current stance • 25%
Expel Hamas • 25%
Increase support for Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar expels Hamas • 25%
Qatar freezes Hamas assets • 25%
No action taken by Qatar • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Pressure from Israel • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Internal security concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumes support • 25%
Continues suspension • 25%
Imposes sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Extradite leaders • 25%
Freeze assets • 25%
Both extradite and freeze assets • 25%
No action taken • 25%