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What will be the impact of the Nevada abortion rights ballot measure on the general election results?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Democratic wins • 33%
Increased Republican wins • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Nevada Secretary of State official election results
Story
Nevada Abortion Rights Ballot Measure Qualifies for November with 127,000 Signatures
Jun 28, 2024, 11:17 PM
A ballot measure to enshrine abortion rights in Nevada's constitution has qualified for the November ballot, the Secretary of State's Office announced. Election officials verified over 127,000 signatures, surpassing the roughly 102,000 needed. This development marks a victory for Democrats who have been advocating for the measure to bolster abortion rights in the Silver State and potentially drive more Democratic voters to the polls. The only potential obstacle is a longshot legal challenge that remains pending.
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Favorable to Democrats • 33%
Favorable to Republicans • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Approved by a wide margin (more than 60%) • 25%
Approved by a narrow margin (50-60%) • 25%
Rejected by a narrow margin (40-50%) • 25%
Rejected by a wide margin (less than 40%) • 25%
Democrats gain significant advantage • 25%
Republicans gain significant advantage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other third-party gains significant advantage • 25%
Pass • 50%
Fail • 50%
Less than 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
More than 20% • 25%
Majority pass • 25%
Majority fail • 25%
Even split • 25%
No measures proposed • 25%
Increased support for pro-choice candidates • 25%
Increased support for pro-life candidates • 25%
No significant impact on elections • 25%
Increased voter turnout due to the issue • 25%
Increase in support for pro-abortion rights candidates • 25%
Increase in support for anti-abortion rights candidates • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Women's rights and health • 25%
Religious beliefs • 25%
Political alignment • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant impact favoring Democrats • 25%
Significant impact favoring Republicans • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Mixed impact with no clear advantage • 25%
Successfully resubmitted and approved • 25%
Successfully resubmitted but rejected again • 25%
No resubmission attempt made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%