Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of the 2024 Election on Trump's trial schedule?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trial begins within 6 months post-election • 25%
Trial begins within 1 year post-election • 25%
Trial delayed indefinitely • 25%
Trial canceled • 25%
Public court records and official announcements by the Special Counsel's office
Story
Judge Chutkan Delays Trump's January 6th Trial Until After 2024 Election
Sep 5, 2024, 09:13 PM
Former President Donald Trump's federal trial in Washington, D.C., related to the January 6th investigation led by Special Counsel Jack Smith, has been delayed until after the 2024 Election Day. The decision was made by Judge Tanya Chutkan, who set a schedule that allows prosecutors to release new evidence against Trump before the election. Smith's revised indictment accuses Trump of pressuring then-Vice President Mike Pence to reject the 2020 election results. The trial delay, confirmed by a court filing, means there won't be a trial before November 5th.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trial proceeds as scheduled • 25%
Trial postponed • 25%
Additional charges added • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty on all charges • 25%
Guilty on some charges • 25%
Not guilty on all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Trial starts in 2024 • 25%
Trial starts in 2025 • 25%
Trial delayed indefinitely • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Withdraws from race • 25%
Continues campaign • 25%
Suspends campaign temporarily • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Mistrial • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
Major impact • 25%
Career-ending • 25%