Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of RFK Jr.'s nomination on public trust in vaccines by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in trust • 25%
Decrease in trust • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Public opinion polls and surveys on vaccine trust
Story
Trump Nominates RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary, Facing Opposition from Senate and Nobel Laureates
Dec 14, 2024, 02:31 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an outspoken critic of vaccines, to lead the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). This nomination has sparked significant controversy, with Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and over 75 Nobel Prize laureates expressing opposition due to Kennedy's anti-vaccine stance. Kennedy's views, including the debunked notion that vaccines cause autism, have raised concerns about potential public health risks. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell has warned nominees to avoid undermining confidence in vaccines like the polio vaccine, which Kennedy's advisor has previously attempted to have revoked. Despite this, Kennedy has promised to address corporate influence over health policy and to make America healthy again, focusing on issues like diet-related illnesses and the influence of ultra-processed foods. He aims to reform dietary guidelines and tackle the impact of ultra-processed foods on public health.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased vaccine skepticism • 25%
Decreased vaccine skepticism • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Increased skepticism • 25%
Increased confidence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Increased vaccine skepticism • 25%
Decreased vaccine skepticism • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Vaccines remain unchanged • 25%
Vaccines undergo major restrictions • 25%
New vaccine safety studies mandated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant increase in vaccine skepticism • 25%
Slight increase in vaccine skepticism • 25%
No change in public opinion • 25%
Decrease in vaccine skepticism • 25%
Appointed and active • 25%
Appointed but inactive • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Strong Support • 25%
Cautious Support • 25%
Concern • 25%
Strong Opposition • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Pro-vaccine • 25%
Anti-vaccine • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Implemented • 25%
Modified • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
More Supportive • 25%
Less Supportive • 25%
No Change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%