Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of proposed tariffs on U.S.-Mexico trade relations by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Trade reports and analyses from international trade organizations
Story
Trump Announces Immediate 25% Tariff on Mexican Imports to Stop Criminals and Drugs
Nov 4, 2024, 04:57 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced a plan to impose a 25 percent tariff on all imports from Mexico unless the Mexican government takes action to stop the flow of criminals and drugs into the United States. Trump made this declaration during a speech in Raleigh, emphasizing the urgency of addressing border security. He stated that the tariff would be implemented immediately if Mexico fails to curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Economists have warned that such a tariff could significantly increase the cost of goods imported from Mexico, which is the top trade partner with the U.S. Trump also mentioned that he would inform the Mexican President, Claudia Sheinbaum, about this policy on his first day in office if elected.
View original story
Similar markets
Strengthened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Slight deterioration • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Trade decreases significantly • 25%
Trade remains stable • 25%
Trade increases • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated down • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Ongoing tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal trade agreements altered • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tensions increased • 25%
Trade war initiated • 25%
Strengthened trade relations • 25%
Weakened trade relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Formal Trade Dispute • 25%
Significant inflation • 25%
Job losses • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Other major impact • 25%
Trade volume decreases • 25%
Trade volume remains stable • 25%
Trade volume increases • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Trade relations improve • 25%
Trade relations remain stable • 25%
Trade relations worsen • 25%
Trade relations collapse • 25%
Strengthened Cooperation • 25%
No Change • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Trade Dispute Escalation • 25%