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What will be the impact of France's increased military support for Ukraine by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant change in conflict dynamics • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
De-escalation of conflict • 25%
Escalation to wider conflict • 25%
Analysis and reports from international relations experts and major news outlets
Story
France Authorizes Ukraine to Use SCALP-EG Missiles Against Russia, No Red Lines in Support
Nov 23, 2024, 02:57 PM
The French Foreign Minister, Jean-Noël Barrot, has stated that there are 'no red lines' when it comes to supporting Ukraine. Barrot confirmed that France has authorized Ukraine to use French SCALP-EG long-range missiles to strike Russian territory in self-defense. He emphasized that all options are on the table, including the possibility of deploying French troops in combat. This announcement underscores France's commitment to backing Ukraine against Russian aggression and calls for increased Western defense spending to counter Russia. Additionally, Barrot hinted at inviting Ukraine to NATO. France recently announced they are sending another 10 SCALP cruise missiles.
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Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Increase in military support • 25%
Decrease in military support • 25%
Continuation of current support level • 25%
Complete halt of military support • 25%
Yes, including heavy weaponry • 25%
Yes, but only light weaponry • 25%
No additional aid announced • 25%
Other types of aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Diplomatic tensions with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
