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What will be the impact of California AI Bill SB 1047 on AI development by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant slowdown • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased innovation • 25%
Other • 25%
Industry reports and official statements
Story
California's First-of-Its-Kind AI Bill SB 1047 Advances Amid Silicon Valley Opposition
Aug 15, 2024, 05:01 PM
California's proposed AI safety bill, SB 1047, is stirring significant debate as it advances through the legislative process. The bill, which mandates companies to test the safety of AI technologies before public release, is considered first-of-its-kind legislation. It has been met with resistance from tech giants in Silicon Valley, who argue that it could stifle innovation and push development to other states. Despite this opposition, the bill has been amended and passed through California's appropriations committee, a crucial step towards becoming law. However, amendments have weakened the bill, reducing the Attorney General's power to sue AI companies, following advice from Anthropic and other opponents.
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Increase in compliance costs • 25%
Decrease in AI innovation • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase in AI safety and security • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Passes • 25%
Fails • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passes with 2/3 majority • 25%
Passes with simple majority • 25%
Fails • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Introduce a new AI safety bill • 25%
Form a special committee on AI regulation • 25%
Conduct public hearings on AI safety • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
File lawsuit • 25%
Comply without legal action • 25%
Lobby for amendments • 25%
Publicly oppose without legal action • 25%