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What will be the IDF's assessment of the July 2024 airstrike outcome by July 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
IDF confirms Deif killed • 25%
IDF confirms another senior official killed • 25%
IDF confirms both killed • 25%
IDF confirms neither killed • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli military or reliable news agencies
Story
Israel Verifies Outcome of Airstrike on Hamas Chief Mohammed Deif in Southern Gaza
Jul 14, 2024, 05:47 PM
The Israeli military is currently verifying the outcome of an airstrike that targeted Hamas military chief Mohammed Deif and another senior Hamas official. IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi stated in a press conference that it is too early to determine if Deif was killed in the strike in southern Gaza. Halevi criticized Hamas for attempting to conceal the results of the attack. The airstrike took place yesterday, and the military is still assessing the situation. Halevi delivered a situational assessment on Sunday.
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Both Mohammed Deif and Rafa Salameh confirmed dead • 25%
Only Mohammed Deif confirmed dead • 25%
Only Rafa Salameh confirmed dead • 25%
Neither confirmed dead • 25%
Justified • 25%
Unjustified • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Successful with strategic gains • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Ineffective • 25%
Undisclosed • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Support • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah maintains current strength • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Elimination of Islamic Jihad Commander • 25%
Elimination of Hamas Commander • 25%
Civilian Casualties • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Airstrike confirmed as cause of deaths • 25%
Airstrike not confirmed as cause of deaths • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No report published • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Moderate damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Widespread support for IDF • 25%
Widespread criticism of IDF • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
US support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN condemns the strike • 25%
US supports the strike • 25%
EU condemns the strike • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
No response from Syria • 25%
Retaliatory strike from Syria • 25%
Diplomatic protest from Syria • 25%
Other • 25%