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What will be the future Supreme Court decision trends on voter registration laws by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Uphold similar laws • 25%
Strike down similar laws • 25%
Mixed decisions • 25%
No further decisions • 25%
Supreme Court rulings
Story
Supreme Court, in 5-4 Vote, Partially Reinstates Arizona Voter Citizenship Law
Aug 22, 2024, 06:43 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has partially reinstated an Arizona law requiring proof of U.S. citizenship to register to vote. The decision, reached by a narrow 5-4 vote, allows Arizona to enforce the requirement for those registering using state forms but not for those using federal forms. Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Kavanaugh were among the deciding votes. This ruling comes in response to a request from the Republican National Committee and Arizona Republicans. The law will go into effect ahead of the upcoming November election, marking a significant development in the ongoing debate over voter registration requirements.
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Increase in Registrations • 25%
Decrease in Registrations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Case accepted • 25%
Case rejected • 25%
No cases presented • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Intervention granted • 25%
Intervention denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Modified • 25%
Other • 25%
Stricter voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Current voter ID laws remain unchanged in multiple states • 25%
Less strict voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Mixed outcomes across states • 25%
Increase in turnout • 25%
Decrease in turnout • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Strengthens Section 2 • 25%
Weakens Section 2 • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other implications • 25%
Requirements upheld • 25%
Requirements struck down • 25%
Partial implementation allowed • 25%
Ongoing legal battles • 25%
Rule in favor of RNC • 25%
Rule against RNC • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
No ruling by deadline • 25%