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What will be the future of Scott Wiener's political career by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Wins re-election • 25%
Loses re-election • 25%
Withdraws from race • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements, election results, and media reports
Story
Harvey Milk Club Discovers Fraudulent Votes, Unendorses Scott Wiener
Sep 8, 2024, 04:09 PM
The Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club in San Francisco has discovered fraudulent votes influencing its endorsements in seven races, leading to the resignation of its president. The club held a meeting on Saturday to revote on the endorsements and provide further details about the incident. Scott Wiener, a prominent politician known for his work on housing and transit policy, as well as LGBTQ+ issues, was among those affected. The club's decision to unendorse Wiener has sparked controversy and criticism from various quarters.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Introduces a new bill • 25%
Launches a public campaign • 25%
Collaborates with another senator • 25%
No major action taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Run for Senate leadership • 25%
Run for Governor of Florida • 25%
Retire from politics • 25%
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Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Remain within +/- 5% • 25%
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Decreased political support • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Manchin changes political strategy • 25%
Remains Governor of Pennsylvania • 25%
Announces run for Senate • 25%
Announces run for Presidency • 25%
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Significant negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Runs for office again • 25%
Continues advocacy work • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Wins the election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Withdraws from the race • 25%
Disqualified from running • 25%
Increased approval • 25%
Decreased approval • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%