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What will be the final vote result on the ETHICS Act in the U.S. House of Representatives by October 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pass with > 300 votes • 25%
Pass with 218-300 votes • 25%
Fail with < 218 votes • 25%
No vote by deadline • 25%
Official Congressional records and announcements
Story
Bipartisan Senators Reach Deal on ETHICS Act to Ban Congressional Stock Trading
Jul 10, 2024, 04:43 PM
A bipartisan group of U.S. senators has reached a deal on legislation to ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks. The bill, known as the ETHICS (Ending Trading and Holdings in Congressional Stocks) Act, aims to prevent lawmakers from profiting from insider information and is set to be marked up in committee on July 24. The proposed legislation, led by Senators Jon Ossoff, Jeff Merkley, Gary Peters, and Josh Hawley, includes provisions to ban stock trading by Congress members 90 days after the bill is signed into law. Additionally, it will prohibit spouses and dependent children from trading stocks starting in March 2027. The bill also requires lawmakers, the President, and the Vice President to divest from certain assets by 2027, with stiff penalties for violations. The initiative has garnered significant bipartisan support, with 20 lawmakers urging House Speaker Mike Johnson to bring the bill to the floor for a vote.
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Passes • 50%
Fails • 50%
Passes with majority • 33%
Fails to pass • 33%
Withdrawn before vote • 34%
Passes with majority • 33%
Fails to pass • 33%
Delayed without vote • 34%
50-49 • 25%
51-49 • 25%
52-48 • 25%
Other • 25%
Passes • 33%
Fails • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Pass • 25%
Fail • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Other • 25%
Report Released • 33%
Report Not Released • 33%
Vote Deferred • 34%
Passes with majority vote • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Postponed to 2025 • 25%
No vote taken • 25%
Passes with more than 300 votes • 25%
Passes with 218-300 votes • 25%
Fails with 200-217 votes • 25%
Fails with less than 200 votes • 25%
Pass with more than 300 votes • 25%
Pass with 218-300 votes • 25%
Fail with less than 218 votes • 25%
No vote taken • 25%
Passed with majority Republican support • 25%
Passed with majority Democratic support • 25%
Failed with majority Republican opposition • 25%
Failed with majority Democratic opposition • 25%