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What will be the European response to Turkey's export ban on Russia by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive of Turkey • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Critical of Turkey • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Official statements from European Union and member countries
Story
Turkey Bars US Military-Linked Hardware Exports to Russia After US Warning, Significantly Impacting Russia
Oct 22, 2024, 02:27 PM
Turkey has officially prohibited the export of US military-linked hardware to Russia following a warning from the United States about potential consequences. This decision represents a significant setback for Russia, which has depended on Turkey as a crucial source of supplies amid ongoing sanctions. The move was kept under wraps due to political sensitivities, highlighting the delicate nature of Turkey's relationship with both the US and Russia. The ban comes at a time when European sanctions are also affecting small exporters in Europe, particularly in Italy, more severely than they are impacting Russia itself.
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EU removes HTS from terrorist list • 25%
EU imposes sanctions on Turkey • 25%
EU maintains current stance • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increase domestic production • 25%
Diversify suppliers • 25%
Negotiate new terms with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Neutral stance by major powers • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
UN Sanctions • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
US Sanctions • 25%
No Sanctions • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Turkey • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%