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What will be the criminal outcome of the federal trial concerning the 'Trump Train' incident by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Criminal charges for one individual • 25%
Criminal charges for multiple individuals • 25%
No criminal charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Court ruling or official announcement from the federal trial
Story
Federal Trial Begins Over 2020 'Trump Train' Incident with Biden-Harris Bus, Wendy Davis Files Lawsuit
Sep 9, 2024, 07:20 AM
A federal trial has commenced over a 2020 incident involving a Biden-Harris campaign bus and a group of Trump supporters, known as the 'Trump Train'. The lawsuit, filed by former Texas State Senator Wendy Davis, alleges that the Trump supporters harassed and threatened the campaign bus on a Texas highway, nearly running it off the road north of San Antonio. The incident occurred just days before the 2020 election, disrupting the campaign on the last day of early voting. The jury will determine whether the actions of the Trump supporters violated state and federal laws.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes, at least one participant • 25%
No, none of the participants • 25%
Charges announced but not filed • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
New members found liable • 25%
No new members found liable • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
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Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Most participants pardoned • 25%
Some participants pardoned • 25%
Few or no participants pardoned • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
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Majority receive minor sentences • 25%
Majority acquitted • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Immunity removed • 25%
Immunity retained • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
No significant change • 25%