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What will be the composition of Trump's cabinet by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mostly new faces • 25%
Mostly previous administration members • 25%
Balanced mix • 25%
Other compositions • 25%
Official announcements from the White House and confirmations by the Senate
Story
Electoral College Formalizes Trump's 2024 Victory with 312 Votes
Dec 17, 2024, 01:58 PM
On December 17, 2024, the Electoral College convened across the United States to formalize Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election over Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump secured 312 electoral votes, surpassing the required 270, while Harris received 226. The electors met in their respective state capitols to cast their votes, a ceremonial step following the general election. Trump also won the national popular vote, garnering 77.2 million votes compared to Harris's 75 million. The Electoral College process, governed by the 12th Amendment, involves electors chosen by political parties casting separate ballots for president and vice president. The results will be certified and sent to the Senate, with the final count to be overseen by Vice President Harris on January 6, 2025, leading to Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025.
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Similar markets
Majority new faces • 25%
Majority former cabinet members • 25%
Balanced mix of new and former • 25%
Other composition • 25%
Majority previous Trump officials • 25%
Majority new appointees • 25%
Balanced mix • 25%
Other • 25%
All major appointments confirmed • 25%
Some major appointments confirmed • 25%
No major appointments confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Predominantly business leaders • 25%
Predominantly political figures • 25%
Predominantly academics • 25%
Even mix of backgrounds • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Majority CEOs • 25%
Majority former generals • 25%
Majority MAGA loyalists • 25%
Mixed composition • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Rudy Giuliani • 25%
Ivanka Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Will Scharf • 25%
Another Trump Legal Team Member • 25%
A Current Republican Senator • 25%
A Business Leader • 25%
Ivanka Trump • 25%
Jared Kushner • 25%
Steve Bannon • 25%
Other • 25%
Mike Pompeo • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Other • 25%
Secretary of Defense • 25%
Secretary of State • 25%
Attorney General • 25%
Other • 25%