Loading...
Market
What will be the change in China's birth rate in 2025 compared to 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 1% to 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Official statistics released by China's National Bureau of Statistics
Story
China Implements Measures, Including Childbirth Subsidy, to Combat Demographic Crisis Amidst Declining Birth Rates and UN's Half Population Loss Prediction
Nov 11, 2024, 07:23 AM
China is facing a demographic crisis, prompting the government to implement measures aimed at increasing birth rates. In 2023, eight Chinese provincial-level regions reported positive natural population growth rates, indicating some success in these efforts. However, analysts suggest that the initiatives lack sufficient incentives to encourage families to have more children. The United Nations has warned that China could lose over half of its population by 2100, marking the most significant decline of any country. Key steps being taken include the establishment of a childbirth subsidy system, the expansion of childcare services, and the implementation of maternity leave, as highlighted by China's health minister. Despite these measures, experts remain skeptical about their effectiveness in reversing the declining fertility trends.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
Remain the same • 34%
Increase • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by 10% to 20% • 25%
Decrease by more than 20% • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 1-5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Above 5% • 25%
Between 3% and 5% • 25%
Between 1% and 3% • 25%
Below 1% • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Improved childcare facilities • 25%
Cultural shifts • 25%
Other • 25%