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Market
What will be the Belarusian military's response to Shahed drone incursions by August 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Scramble fighter jets • 33%
Deploy anti-aircraft systems • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Official statements from Belarusian military, verified news reports
Story
Five Shahed Drones Enter Belarusian Airspace, One Flies 260 km, Fighter Jet Scrambled
Jul 30, 2024, 09:29 PM
On the night of July 30, several Shahed-type kamikaze drones entered Belarusian airspace, originating from various regions in Ukraine. According to Ukrainian Telegram channels and Belarusian monitoring groups, at least five Shahed drones were detected. One drone flew over 260 km across Belarus, reaching as far as Stolin. The drones were reported to be flying over regions including Homiel and the Palessie Radiation-Ecological Reserve. The Belarusian military responded by scrambling a fighter jet to intercept the drones. This incident marks the most extensive flight of Shahed drones recorded in Belarusian airspace during the monitoring period.
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Strengthen air defense systems • 25%
Conduct joint military exercises with allies • 25%
Increase surveillance and monitoring • 25%
Issue formal protests to Russia • 25%
Deploy more fighter jets • 25%
Increase diplomatic pressure on Russia • 25%
Implement advanced anti-drone systems • 25%
Seek international assistance • 25%
Shooting down drones • 25%
Scrambling fighter jets • 25%
Ground-based anti-aircraft response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant damage to infrastructure • 25%
Minor skirmishes with Belarusian forces • 25%
No significant incidents reported • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
