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What will be the adoption rate of Tesla's FSD 12.4.3 among Tesla's fleet by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 0.5% • 25%
0.5% to 1% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
More than 2% • 25%
Official Tesla reports or press releases
Story
Tesla Rolls Out FSD 12.4.3, Expands Beyond Early Access with Zero Intervention, Hands-Free Drives
Jul 5, 2024, 07:14 PM
Tesla has begun the rollout of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software version 12.4.3, expanding beyond the Early Access group to approximately 0.2% of the fleet. The new version has received positive feedback for its smooth and confident driving, with many users reporting zero intervention, hands-free drives. Key improvements include better speed control, reduced lane changes, and enhanced adherence to traffic laws. The update is seen as a significant milestone, potentially marking a major shift in personal transportation and paving the way for widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles. Notably, the software performed impressively in congested areas like Beverly Hills.
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75-80% • 25%
81-85% • 25%
86-90% • 25%
91-100% • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 70% • 25%
70% to 90% • 25%
More than 90% • 25%
Less than 20% • 25%
20% to 40% • 25%
40% to 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Less than 150 miles per disengagement • 25%
Between 150 and 175 miles per disengagement • 25%
Between 175 and 200 miles per disengagement • 25%
More than 200 miles per disengagement • 25%
Model 3 • 25%
Model Y • 25%
Model S • 25%
Cybertruck • 25%
Less than 1.8 billion miles • 25%
Between 1.8 billion and 2 billion miles • 25%
Between 2 billion and 2.2 billion miles • 25%
More than 2.2 billion miles • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 75% • 25%
76% to 90% • 25%
More than 90% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
2 billion miles • 25%
2.5 billion miles • 25%
3 billion miles • 25%
More than 3 billion miles • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%