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What will be public opinion on Cohen's pardon request by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support pardon • 25%
Majority oppose pardon • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Major public opinion polls or surveys conducted by reputable sources
Story
Michael Cohen Seeks Preemptive Biden Pardon, Cites Hunter Biden Comparison
Jan 12, 2025, 05:52 PM
Michael Cohen, former attorney for Donald Trump, has publicly requested a preemptive presidential pardon from President Joe Biden. Cohen argued that Biden has an obligation to protect individuals like him from potential retribution by Donald Trump, who is set to assume office. Cohen likened his situation to that of Hunter Biden, the president's son, who received a pardon in December. During a televised appearance on MSNBC, Cohen stated, "I would expect the same exact pardon that he gave his son." However, MSNBC host Symone Sanders-Townsend pushed back, emphasizing that Cohen is not the president's son and suggesting his comparison was flawed. Cohen, who previously served three years in prison for federal crimes, including tax evasion and campaign finance violations, cited his 51 days in solitary confinement as a reason for his plea. He expressed concerns about being on Trump's "enemies list" and the potential consequences of Trump's return to power.
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Similar markets
Evenly split • 25%
No significant public opinion • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority oppose pardons • 25%
Majority support pardons • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Slightly more favorable • 25%
Significantly more favorable • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Increase in approval for presidential pardons • 25%
Decrease in approval for presidential pardons • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No significant opinion • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority support the pardon • 25%
Majority oppose the pardon • 25%
Majority are indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Mixed/Neutral • 25%
No Opinion • 25%
Mostly Disapprove • 25%
Mostly Approve • 25%
More Supportive • 25%
Less Supportive • 25%
No Change • 25%
Divided Opinion • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Less Supportive • 25%
More Supportive • 25%
Mixed Opinions • 25%
No Change • 25%