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Market
What will be Norway's primary reason for constructing the border fence with Russia by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Preventing migrant influx • 25%
Countering hybrid warfare • 25%
Both reasons equally • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official announcements from the Norwegian government or reputable news sources
Story
Norway Considers 123-mile Border Fence with Russia to Prevent Migrant Influx, Hybrid Warfare
Sep 29, 2024, 03:43 PM
Norway is considering constructing a fence along its 123-mile border with Russia. The potential move, as a minister said, is inspired by Finland's similar project and aims to prevent an influx of refugees, similar to the 2015 incident when 5,000 migrants crossed from Russia to Norway at the only border point. The fence is also seen as a measure to counter possible hybrid warfare tactics by Moscow, which could involve the use of migrants.
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Similar markets
Prevent migrant crossings • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Hybrid warfare prevention • 25%
Other • 25%
Full border fence • 25%
Partial border fence • 25%
No border fence • 25%
Undecided • 25%
By end of 2025 • 25%
By end of 2026 • 25%
After 2026 • 25%
Not completed • 25%
Increased military presence in the North Sea • 25%
Economic sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic talks with Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Public opinion • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Political leverage • 25%
Other • 25%