Loading...
Market
What will be Narges Mohammadi's health status by the end of her 21-day medical leave?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly improved • 25%
Slightly improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Reports from her lawyer, family, or confirmed news sources
Story
Iran Frees Nobel Laureate Narges Mohammadi on 21-Day Medical Leave After Tumor Surgery
Dec 4, 2024, 12:05 PM
Narges Mohammadi, the Iranian human rights activist and 2023 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, has been temporarily released from prison for medical reasons, her lawyer Mostafa Nili announced. The Tehran prosecutor's office suspended her prison sentence for 21 days on the advice of the medical examiner due to her deteriorating health condition following surgery to remove a tumor and perform a bone graft 21 days ago. Mohammadi, who has been incarcerated since November 2021, has been suffering from various health issues, including heart disease, and is reportedly unable to walk. She was transferred from Evin Prison by ambulance to receive medical care. Her family has criticized the temporary release as 'too little, too late.' Mohammadi's bail was set at eight billion tomans.
View original story
Similar markets
Full recovery • 25%
Partial recovery • 25%
No significant improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Return to prison • 25%
Extension of medical leave • 25%
Permanent release • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions or resolutions • 25%
EU or US diplomatic actions • 25%
International NGO campaigns • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Health deterioration • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Sentence reduction • 25%
Full release • 25%
Return to prison • 25%
Extended medical leave • 25%
Medical condition • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Legal appeal • 25%
Political reform • 25%