Loading...
Market
What will be Laurent Vinatier's status by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
In prison • 25%
Under house arrest • 25%
Deported • 25%
Released without further punishment • 25%
Official court records or announcements from Russian authorities
Story
French Researcher Pleads Guilty in Moscow to Violating Russian Foreign Agent Laws, Faces Lighter Sentence
Sep 16, 2024, 12:16 PM
Laurent Vinatier, a French researcher, has pleaded guilty in a Moscow court to violations of Russia's foreign agent laws. Vinatier, who was accused of non-compliance and collecting sensitive military information, admitted to the charges. The court will consider his case under a special regime, which guarantees a lighter sentence.
View original story
Similar markets
Sentence Upheld • 25%
Sentence Reduced • 25%
Sentence Overturned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Full Recovery • 25%
Partial Recovery • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Worsened Condition • 25%
Still employed • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Terminated • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Terminated • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Still under investigation • 25%
Release of Vinatier • 25%
Sentence reduction • 25%
No change in sentence • 25%
Further diplomatic actions • 25%
In custody in Montenegro • 25%
Extradited to Poland • 25%
Extradited to South Korea • 25%
Released • 25%
Remains as Biden's physician • 25%
Resigns or is removed from position • 25%
Suspended pending further investigation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Partial recovery with ongoing treatment • 25%
Significant long-term disabilities • 25%
Undisclosed or unknown outcome • 25%
