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What will be Joe Biden's reason for exiting the 2024 presidential race?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Health reasons • 25%
Personal reasons • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statement from Joe Biden or the Democratic Party, reported by major news outlets
Story
Top Democrats Believe Biden May Exit Presidential Race This Weekend with 78% Chance
Jul 18, 2024, 03:23 PM
Top Democrats are increasingly convinced that President Joe Biden may withdraw from the presidential race, potentially as soon as this weekend. Reports from sources such as Axios indicate that senior party leaders, including Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer, are pressuring Biden to step down. There is a 78% chance that Biden will exit the race, according to betting markets. This development follows a period where Democrats allowed Biden space to make his own decision but have now intensified their efforts to ensure his withdrawal.
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Health Concerns • 25%
Electability Concerns • 25%
Family Reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Health Concerns • 25%
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Personal Reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Health concerns • 25%
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Health Reasons • 25%
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Personal Decision • 25%
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Health reasons • 25%
Lack of campaign funds • 25%
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By August 31, 2024 • 33%
By September 30, 2024 • 33%
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Electability Concerns • 25%
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